Pdf adaptation to climate change and variability in. Causes for vulnerability of ethiopia to climate variability and change include very high dependence on rain fed agriculture which is very sensitive to climate. It is based on econometric analysis of survey data generated from household level interviews in southern ethiopian rangelands. Determinants of farmers choice of adaptation to climate. A number of climate change impact studies have been. Climate variability is the term to describe variations in the mean state and other characteristics of climate such as chances or possibility of extreme weather, etc. The adverse effects of climate change and variability forced them to design proper adaptation strategies. Subsaharan africa has been portrayed as the most vulnerable region to the impacts of global climate change because of its reliance on agriculture which is highly sensitive to weather and climate variables such as temperature, precipitation, and light and extreme events and low capacity for adaptation. Estimates suggest climate change may reduce ethiopia s gdp up to 10 percent by 2045, primarily through impacts on. Adaptation to climate change and variability in eastern ethiopia. On the impact of weather variability and climate change on. The summer of 2009 was one of michigans coldest summers on record. Impacts of climate variability and households adaptation. Such variability is called random variability or noise.
Climate variability and climate change what is the difference. Climate variability and climate change, what is the. A recent study by undp 2008 also indicates that climate change in ethiopia could lead to extreme temperatures and rainfall events, as well as more heavy and. Climate variability and change in ethiopia phd library wur. Strenghtening capacity for climate change adaptation in the. Impacts of climate change on crop production and its. The seasonality of rainfall varies in different areas of ethiopia.
Module 1 understanding climate variability and climate change. A household questionnaire survey was employed to collect data at a household level. Livelihood vulnerability to climate variability and change. Pdf climate change in ethiopia variability, impact, mitigation, and. Pdf seasonal rainfall variability in ethiopia and its. Adapting to future climate changes would require developing systems capable of absorbing the current climate shocks and at the same time integrate future climate change risks. The climate change adaptation activities in east africa notably in ethiopia and. Recently, there are some attempts by various stakeholders to design short. Ethiopia s climate varies from tropical rainy to desert, with mean.
Therefore, scientific investigations and applied researches on climate variability and its economic impact on the production levels and. Worldwide local climate variability can influence peoples decisions with consequences for their social, economic, political and personal conditions, and effects on their lives and livelihoods. Projected climate change in ethiopia is expected to result in increased variability in precipitation and in an increase in temperature 1. A study was conducted with the objectives of investigating the effect of climate change and variability on the livelihood of the local community in arsi negele district, central refit valley region of ethiopia using group discussions, structured questionnaire and personal observations. Climate changevariability impacts on farmers livelihoods.
Exhibit 1 shows that gdp in ethiopia rises or falls about a year. Ethiopia climate risk country profile climate change knowledge. Observations show that warming of the climate is unequivocal. Key messages the coffee growing landscape of ethiopia is varied and complex coffee farming in ethiopia takes place over a vast area, under a wide variety of production systems and various growing conditions, with many different cultivation practices. The gov ernment, operating at the national and subnational. Implications for household food security in agropastoral areas of jigjiga district, eastern ethiopia yared lemma1, fekadu beyene2 and bekele hundie3 abstract ethiopia is one of the most vulnerable countries of the world to the impacts of climate change and variability. Global change research program published a report stating. Drought is the single most destructive climate related natural hazard in ethiopia. The results of this study revealed that crop choice was climate sensitive and farmers adapted to. The trends of climate change and variability in the study area showed gradual change. Adaptation of agriculture to climate change in semiarid borena, ethiopia. Adaptation of agriculture to climate change in semiarid. Seasonal rainfall variability in ethiopia and its longterm link to global sea surface temperatures article pdf available in water 121. Evidence from ethiopia mintewab bezabih, salvatore di falco, and alemu mekonnen abstract weather fluctuations tend to be as important as climate change in farmers decision making in countries such as ethiopia that have virtually no weather insurance.
In this regard, vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of climate variation to which a system is ex posed, its sensitivity, and its adaptive capacity 4. Climate projections for ethiopia and the eastern sahel are particularly challenging due to the large climate variability observed over the 20th century, which makes it difficult to provide clear attributions to. Phd thesis, wageningen university, wageningen, nl 2014 with references, with summaries in dutch and english isbn 9789461738370. According to ipcc, global averaged land and ocean temperature trend show a warming of 0. Vulnerability of southern afar pastoralists to climate.
Evidences show that since 1960 the mean annual temperature of the country has risen by about 1. Some of the variability does not appear to be caused systematically and occurs at random times. On the impact of weather variability and climate change on agriculture. Investments in education serve as an important pathway out of poverty, yet reduced agricultural. Climate variability already negatively impacts livelihoods and this is likely to continue. Both climate variability and change have been occurring in ethiopia. Adaptation to climate change and variability in eastern. Analysis of adaptation to climate variability and change in uganda. Weather variability, climate change and agricultural productivity in ethiopia. This study identifies the major impacts of climate change and methods used by farmers to adapt the changing climate in ensaro district, ethiopia.
Pdf climate variability and household adaptation strategies in. Studies regarding vulnerability to climate change variability in ethiopia were mainly focused on national andor regional levels deressa et al. Impacts of considering climate variability on investment decisions in ethiopia paul j. It was prepared by chemonics for the atlas task order. Most rural people live in the highlands and middlehighlands, which comprise only onethird of the country, and this population tends to be. Between 1960 and 2006, the mean annual temperature increased by 1. Ethiopia and by extension ethiopian cities can turn to alternative power sources for a more. The african continent, while contributing least to greenhouse gas ghg emissions, is most vulnerable and will be hit hardest by the. Vulnerability, risk reduction, and adaptation to climate. This paper examines the effects of climate variability on schooling outcomes in rural ethiopia. Estimates suggest climate change may reduce ethiopia s gdp up to 10 percent by 2045, primarily through impacts on agricultural productivity. Climate change refers to long term fluctuations of temperature, precipitation, wind and other elements of earths climate system. In addition, 9used the multinomial logit model to analyse crop and livestock choice as climate change ada ptation options in burkina faso, cameroon, ghana, niger, senegal, egypt, ethiopia and kenya, south africa, zambia and zimbabwe.
Nbi climate change strategy 1 nbi climate change strategy 1. Abebe tadege this report is the output of a project entitled preparation of national adaptation programme of action for ethiopia that was supported by the gef through the undp. The majority of rural people in ethiopia depend on climate sensitive rainfed agriculture, which is the source of their livelihood and the basis for national growth and domestic products. Climate change national adaptation programme of action napa of ethiopia editor.
Local climate variability and crop production in the. Future global warming will increase theses risks, and add hazards that have been. Climate change variability impacts on farmers livelihoods and adaptation strategies. Climate variability and change in the central rift valley of ethiopia. The effect of climate change and variability on the. Impacts of considering climate variability on investment. The ipcc 2007 suggested that detail analysis is of local precipitation variability. Local institutions, external interventions, and adaptations to climate variability 8 introduction the purpose of this study was to understand the role of local institutions in assisting the borana pastoralists of southern ethiopia in dealing with droughts.
Atmosphere is the blanket of air that surrounds the earth, moving both. Assessing the evidence of climate variability in the northern part of. The role of local institutions in adaptive processes to climate variability 7 local social institutions in climate adaptation literature, a great deal of attention is paid to biophysical models indicating potential impacts hein, metzger, and leemans 2009. Although changes in climate and climate extremes will be the present study was carried out in the southern afar region in ethiopia to assess the vulnerability of pastoral communities to climate change and variability. A gender and household welfare perspective, in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of doctor of philosophy ec onomics of the university of dar es salaam. Exploring impacts and adaptation options for cereal production 191 pages. Analysis of vulnerability and resilience to climate change. Analysis of climate variability and its economic impact on. The study also investigated determinant factors influencing. Ethiopia provides a good example of the influence of climate variability on a developing countrys economy.
This study was conducted at konso district in southern ethiopia. Undps climate change country profile for ethiopia, ipcc reports, ethiopia s national adaptation programme of action napa, scuk livelihood reports, and other relevant research reports. Climate variability and climate change in doba district, west hararghe, ethiopia belaineh legesse1 yared ayele2 woldeamlak bewket3 abstract this study assessed farmers perceptions and adaptation to climate variability and change in doba district, west hararghe, ethiopia. Communities livelihood vulnerability to climate variability in ethiopia article pdf available in sustainability 112019.
Rainfall trend and variability analysis in setemagatira. Evidences of gradual rise in air temperature and consequent global warming. Ethiopia in general the dera woreda in particular is not an exception in this regard. Climate change adaptation thought leadership and assessments atlas. Variability in both time and space is an inherent feature of climate, as the atmosphere is always in state of turmoil and instability leading to variations in weather and climatic conditions. Droughts and higher variability of rainfall are a consequence of climate change. Gridded annual temperature and precipitation data were obtained from the national meteorological agency. Pdf climate change refers to long term fluctuations of temperature, precipitation, wind and other elements of earths climate system. Though the climate of ethiopia received a lot of attention from scientists and many papers have been published on different climatic topics, given its complexity and variability. It is a change of climate which is attributed directly or indirectly to human activity that alters the composition. The role of local institutions in adaptive processes to. University of dar es salaam a dissertation entitled.
Rosegrantc, xinshen diaoc ainternational research institute for climate and society, columbia university, lamont campus, 61 rt. The aim of this study was to understand the association of crop production with climate variability in the central highlands of ethiopia. Pdf climate change in ethiopia variability, impact. Understanding farmers perceptions of and adaptations to. The effects of climate change imply that the local climate variability.
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